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The $1/Hour Worker: Four Robotics CEOs on Humanoids at Home, China's Threat, and the End of Dangerous Jobs

all-in · Jul 28, 2026 · 1:08:35

AI transcriptdiarizedcorrected14,024 words79 nuggetssource ↗audio ↗
Jason CalacanisSpeaker BPeter FankhauserSpeaker DSpeaker ESpeaker F
Jason Calacanis0:00

Hey everybody, it's your boy J.Cow. I'm here in Paris, France at a conference called Makina. It's basically AI in the real world. Pardon my robot. Thanks for tuning in and let's get started. I'm going all in.

Speaker B0:23

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Jason Calacanis0:56

I'm going all in. All right, everybody, our interviews with The number one companies in robotics today continue here in Paris. Really excited to have Dr. Peter Funkhäuser on the program. You're the co-founder and CEO of Anybotics. You make the AnyMo. Get it? A lot of you have puns, but you've been working in this space for close to 20 years. The company's been around for 10. First 5 years, kind of a research lab. Last 5 years, Your— what do you call these? Dog-based robots?

Peter Fankhauser1:30

Well, it's an inspection solution, right? It's about data collection and understanding in critical infrastructure.

Jason Calacanis1:35

But the form factor is a four-legged robot, a dog, as you just said. We like to call it a dog-o-bot. But why did that dog format become the standard? You're not the only person making it. There's many people making it now. Why did that one become the first one to hit You know, relative scale and forward deployment.

Peter Fankhauser1:59

Yeah, in nature, you know, a lot of animals have 4 legs, so there's a reason to that. So for sure you have a great mobility, you can climb stairs, you can go anywhere a person can go.

Jason Calacanis2:07

So dexterity and balance, mobility, right?

Peter Fankhauser2:11

Balance, but also stability. 4 legs, if you're wide footprint, a lot of footholds hold on to because we work in nasty environments, slippery floors, there's, you know, rain falling, this snow falling down, grass growing.

Jason Calacanis2:22

Got it.

Peter Fankhauser2:22

So 4 legs is a real good format.

Jason Calacanis2:24

Well, now this is a silly question, but why don't we make centaurs for the human versions? When people are making the Optimus, the Neo, the Atlas from Boston Dynamics, those stand-up robots with 2 legs, the concern is they're always going to fall over. They constantly fall over in demos, and if they fall over, they're going to break somebody's ankle. Why not put four legs on those?

Peter Fankhauser2:47

You could, absolutely. And it really depends on the use case. If you need to work, bring, you know, I don't know, in a coffee shop, bring it to them. There's narrow spaces, right? You want to work at eye level, maybe humanoid is better. In the facilities that we work, four leg stability, there's enough space to go around. Yeah, it's the perfect format.

Jason Calacanis3:03

I don't buy it. I think all the cafes should have— are they, were they centaurs in, uh, Greek mythology?

Peter Fankhauser3:08

Yeah, it's a centaur. So four legs and body.

Jason Calacanis3:11

I think that should be the new standard. You found a really effective first use case, which is inspecting really important infrastructure. And now you have thousands of these, hundreds of these, 400—

Peter Fankhauser3:24

Hundreds, yeah.

Jason Calacanis3:25

Hundreds forward deployed over the last 5 years.

Speaker D3:27

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis3:28

These are expensive. They're low hundreds of thousands of dollars to buy them. Yeah. And to operate them, I'm assuming tens of thousands a year in service contracts. So they're not for home use. These are industrial and they have a lot of sensors on them. So if you were going to inspect, I don't know, a pipeline with natural gas in it, right? These things can go out in any weather and they can sense things on that pipeline that a human can't, correct?

Peter Fankhauser4:00

Yeah, that's right. For us, it's not about labor replacement, right? It's what can we do better? What can we do superhuman? Yeah, inspection is a great example. Our eyes and ears don't perceive all the signals— micro gas leakages, temperature, equipment overheating. With the cameras on the robot, thermal cameras, acoustic, you know, microphones, gas concentrations, and all of that, we pack it full of sensors and AI, and you can go way beyond what a human can do. So the monetary benefit is avoiding downtime. These assets, if they stop, they lose revenues in the hundreds of thousands per hour. So every minute, every hour we can save them, it's essentially pays for the robots. And that's why we can afford having really expensive sensors, really expensive GPUs on top of a robot.

Jason Calacanis4:38

Yeah, these have seriously powerful compute on them, right? And they have to have a significant amount of battery power then as well. So these things can do a mission of what, an hour or two?

Peter Fankhauser4:48

Two hours. But now docking station to come back, charge. But they do this over and over. Some of our customers run these missions 40 times a day.

Speaker B4:55

14?

Peter Fankhauser4:56

40. 4-0.

Jason Calacanis4:57

4-0.

Peter Fankhauser4:58

Interested in a specific point where the electric arc furnace goes up. They want to know in that minute what's happening. Too dangerous to send in a person. Thermal cameras burned. They need a robot that drives at that moment.

Jason Calacanis5:08

Got it. And they have to charge, not hot swapping the batteries?

Peter Fankhauser5:11

No, you want hands-free autonomy. Nobody should even be bothered that there's a robot. Yeah, they don't care about the robot. Actually, they don't even want the robot. They want the data, they want the insights. The robot is a means to an end to collect the data precisely.

Jason Calacanis5:23

At what point can you offload the very, um, power-hungry compute and put it in the cloud.

Peter Fankhauser5:29

We also do that. There's always two parts. There's parts that need to run real-time on the robot because you also cannot guarantee connectivity, obstacle avoidance, data quality, making sure you have the right thing. If you upload a blurry image to the cloud, it's too late. Yeah, but in the cloud, of course, you do contextual analysis, historic downtime analysis, etc.

Jason Calacanis5:47

Are people asking for these to be able to operate for 24 hours yet, or 12 hours?

Peter Fankhauser5:53

No, for sure. So the maximum is in the 8-hour range, so it has enough time for charging. If you need to go beyond that, that's rare. There's diminishing returns to more frequently do it, but you have to manage. They do it manually today, maybe once or twice a day, and they get 8, 15, 20 times now, right? So it's already— the frequency goes massively up. Yeah, without putting people into harm's way. Plus the quality is so much higher.

Jason Calacanis6:12

What's the most fascinating science fiction, uh, deployment you have currently with these?

Peter Fankhauser6:19

Yeah, I mean, what's really exciting, any— anything offshore.

Jason Calacanis6:22

Right?

Peter Fankhauser6:23

People fly out with helicopters. Every helicopter flight costs in the tens of thousands. So, but if you're offshore, it's very tricky, right?

Jason Calacanis6:29

Got it. It needs to work.

Peter Fankhauser6:30

There's almost no people around. It needs to be floating.

Jason Calacanis6:32

These are oil rigs?

Peter Fankhauser6:33

Oil and wind energy offshore as well.

Jason Calacanis6:36

Ah, but wait a second. These things don't operate in the water. So how do they work with windmills in the ocean?

Peter Fankhauser6:42

There's windmills around, hundreds of them. They come together to a transformer station.

Speaker D6:47

Ah.

Peter Fankhauser6:47

That transforms to AC to DC before it transfers. That's a manned facility typically.

Jason Calacanis6:51

Got it.

Peter Fankhauser6:51

Big converter halls. This is where the robot operates.

Jason Calacanis6:53

Got it. Can they operate like in severe conditions like the Antarctic and stuff like that? And have you deployed them there yet?

Peter Fankhauser6:59

Well, in Norway for sure. So that's minus 20 degrees. In deserts, plus 40, 50, 60 degrees, right? So that's exactly the point where you want to send in a robot. Temperatures, dust, humidity. Most importantly, we have a robot now that goes into explosive atmospheres, which is, you know, in oil and gas and chemicals.

Jason Calacanis7:17

Methane in the air.

Peter Fankhauser7:18

You're not allowed to, you know, create a spark. So we built a special robot that's guaranteed not to create a spark. This is where you don't want to have people, but for a machine, that's a perfect case, right? Dangerous environment. This is where we're sending robots in.

Jason Calacanis7:30

That's fascinating. So if you're in the Permian Basin and something's leaking, that is one of the most dangerous— these oil rigs, gas leaks, this is where people seriously die. Yes.

Peter Fankhauser7:42

And you don't want— you want to know when it's happening. Yeah, but you don't want to create a problem, so that's a perfect case.

Jason Calacanis7:46

I mean, I'm going to keep going sci-fi, but dropping these things into the bottom of the ocean seems like a no-brainer at some point.

Peter Fankhauser7:52

Well, there's submarines, right? We don't do that right now, but I agree, right? Robots should work in environments where people shouldn't be. Dangerous, remote, right? Boring, repetitive tasks. So this is what we—

Jason Calacanis8:02

that's a different form factor right now, but there are people creating on the surface and then under the surface, slightly under the surface, right, robots that are doing essentially not inspections but monitoring systems for obviously the military. Well, if you're out there inspecting and there's a gas leak and it's dangerous to send humans out there, when are you going to put some equipment on these to fix the goddamn leak while you're out there? And that must be the holy grail, is it not?

Peter Fankhauser8:36

Yeah, once you can detect a problem, customer asks, can you solve it? Can you fix it?

Jason Calacanis8:39

Can you turn—

Peter Fankhauser8:40

not today. Okay, you know, in a demo, yes, but in reality, getting it to 99.9% reliability in explosive atmosphere, that's still in development. First step is close levers, open cabinets. Eventually you want to have bimanual manipulation, maybe 3, 4 arms to fix the machine, right? That's still, you know, AI will help us. There's still a lot of work ahead of us. It's a lot of the demos you see of humanoids folding laundry. That's a very controlled environment. You want to go outdoor in a hailstorm, right? Freezing temperatures, it's different also for perception. But eventually we foresee the future that this will be solved.

Jason Calacanis9:11

What percentage of your robot is sourced from China?

Speaker E9:15

Zero.

Jason Calacanis9:16

Zero percent. And is that because in the EU and Norway it's banned or that's a choice?

Peter Fankhauser9:22

That happened just historically that we source locally and you get chips from the US, etc. And for some of our customers it's important. And we built a lot ourselves, right? Because we started 10 years ago. So a lot of the architecture nowadays, you get cheaper components around the globe. So it's about being smart where you get components from, which one are active, which one are just metals. So for sure, it's a, it's a hard work to navigate, but tapping into the commoditization of certain hardware, that makes sense for us cost-wise as well.

Jason Calacanis9:48

Who's specializing in that outside of China now? Is it Vietnam, India, Taiwan? Where can you source like the actuators and a lot of this—

Peter Fankhauser9:57

China is number one pushing. There's good companies in Europe, right? Uh, in the US as well. So these three regions for sure. If it's just about labor assembly, you can go elsewhere as well, but you want to get the core expertise, somebody who builds that component.

Jason Calacanis10:10

Got it. And how do you look at China now? They've been stealing the IP. I'm assuming they've stolen yours already, um, and certainly other people's IP is being stolen at scale in China. And they're building robots that are going to be 80% cheaper, and they're going to try to deploy them to the same customer base, I am certain. How are you thinking about the threat of Chinese robotics?

Peter Fankhauser10:35

If you look at the robot from China today, that device is a piece of hardware that can walk beautifully, great engineering, love it, do backflips. Yeah, but they're not solving the problem. Our customers don't compare a platform to the full solution that we have.

Speaker D10:46

Got it.

Peter Fankhauser10:46

Do you need autonomy, inspection intelligence, the workflow integration, the So much more, right? It's just a hardware difference.

Jason Calacanis10:51

So the harness, the wrapper, the services around it, they're not providing yet.

Peter Fankhauser10:56

And then the trust in the data, right? We collect very sensitive data. We have ISO certification for cybersecurity, all these topics, right? So that's how we compete.

Jason Calacanis11:03

So you might not want to send the nuclear power plant's latest data to the Chinese Communist Party, you're saying.

Peter Fankhauser11:11

You don't want to have 15 cameras in your critical infrastructure at somebody else's control.

Jason Calacanis11:16

Yeah, I'm being a bit facetious, but, uh, that is happening today. Yeah, but it's— there's data leakage. Talk to me about military applications. Yeah, NATO is, uh, having to arm itself. I apologize on behalf of the United States, uh, for our stance with NATO, but you guys have to pay up and pay your fair share. You've agreed to do that, but I think there's a perception in Europe— you can tell me if I'm wrong— and in NATO that you may have to go it maybe without the United States, you may need to build your own military, uh, products and services. Do you not need to be in the military space, and do you not take the same applications and build military applications? And are you doing that yet?

Peter Fankhauser11:57

Yeah, so I think there's a responsibility in Europe to build technologies to be able to—

Jason Calacanis12:02

you believe that personally?

Speaker B12:04

Yes.

Peter Fankhauser12:04

However, for Anybotics, we built and we went down one track there's tremendous pull. So today we're not doing it, not intend to do it, right? And it's also a different product at that stage probably, right? It sounds very easy, just take four legs and do military. You need to go couple of steps for what exactly you're doing, different communications, different autonomy. So we're not doing it, but I mean, I think there's a responsibility to do it for others.

Jason Calacanis12:25

Is it never say never for you, uh, or is it you're dead set on like you have a mission, you're not going to build military product?

Peter Fankhauser12:32

For us today, the mission is clear. We started with non-military, this is where we're headed.

Jason Calacanis12:36

Got it. But if the EU asks you, can you afford it?

Peter Fankhauser12:39

Well, they do ask. I mean, we get, you know, plenty of requests. But it's also honest truth. Are we solving actually the problem? Just shipping a robot to the military doesn't solve the problem yet. We really need to go deep. So you would need a different team to do that.

Jason Calacanis12:52

Really? You need a different team? Well, it seems like you could do the same team and build military applications.

Peter Fankhauser12:58

No, autonomy is very different, right? So for example, we do autonomy. You have time to set up a robot and it does inspections, all of that. In military, it's about milliseconds being in, right? Remote-controlled human in the loop, different communications, different autonomy. Then everything on top, application software, very different. Yes, you could use a four-legged robot to also go into a house. That's about it, right? The rest is different.

Jason Calacanis13:18

How do you think about robots that are armed? Clearly, China has done demonstrations of these same type of, you know, four-legged robots with guns on them. And obviously with AI, these Terminator scenarios are here. Yeah, they're being built in China already. Yeah, we've seen drones on the battlefield in Ukraine. Norway is not far away from Russia. It's not that close, but it's not that far away either. How do you think about the fact that communist countries are building these robots that have weapons on them?

Peter Fankhauser13:53

Yeah, I personally don't like it. I hate it. I think you're concerned, right? I mean, as an engineer, you should have pride, right, to build technology for good. Defense is one part. The active attack, putting a gun on it, it's just risky. This technology is getting mature, but they're not that mature that you would put somebody else in harm's way.

Jason Calacanis14:12

Yeah, it is. The enemy we're going to be faced is going to do this, and we need to monitor it. What is the buzz inside the industry about this? When you're out with other people in the industry, You know, what do you know that we don't know about what's happening in those authoritarian countries with robotics and the military?

Peter Fankhauser14:33

I think these are all very early tests. If I look at those videos, these are demonstrations. Got it. I've not seen these types of robot active drones. Yes, Ukraine, that came out of necessity. Yeah, that was a mature category that was used in robotics. Actually, to the people I speak to, I mean, 4 years ago we wrote a letter together with our friends at Boston Dynamics and others, right? Who condemn the weaponization of robots for exactly that reason, that as engineers, we don't want to see it being used, and we think it's just dangerous and risky and stupid.

Jason Calacanis14:59

Yeah. All right, listen, continued success. All right, everybody, really excited to have Bernd Borniek here. He is the founder and CEO of 1X. If you know 1X, they make the Neo. The Neo is a household robot. You've sold a lot of pre-orders. And you guaranteed people this would make it and would ship in 2026 into their homes. What does it cost and are you going to hit your self-imposed deadline?

Speaker E15:27

You got to keep your promises.

Jason Calacanis15:28

Okay.

Speaker E15:29

So we will ship in 2026.

Jason Calacanis15:31

Okay.

Speaker E15:31

Now, expectation managing here, it'll be slow in the beginning. We want to do it right.

Jason Calacanis15:36

Yes.

Speaker E15:37

But there will be a handful of customers that get their Neo in 2026, and I'm so excited and I can't wait.

Jason Calacanis15:43

What is the cost of the Neo?

Speaker E15:45

So that's an interesting one because it depends a bit. Um, I mean, when we launched the pre-order, we had two different payment models. We had a kind of like early adopter upfront full payment, um, and then we had a subscription fee. And the product, of course, is going through a lot of development. So how this subscription model will look and these things are kind of like still evolving.

Jason Calacanis16:08

Got it.

Speaker E16:08

And we want to figure that out also a bit together with our customers in the beginning. But another big one now is, we haven't really announced this yet, but I've dripped it in a bit, which is we are going to allow a lot of people to build on Neo. So we are also launching Neo as a platform.

Jason Calacanis16:23

Yes, that's how many— like an app store of such, or a skill store. So if I have it in my home and I want to make a salad, you as a hacker could make the salad skill, and I can buy and subscribe to your salad skill? Yeah.

Speaker E16:38

That will be part of it, but to me, Neo and 1X is about so much more than just consumer, right? Yeah. So consumer is an incredibly important market, but 1X has always been about how do we create an abundance of labor across society through these humanoids. And I sincerely believe that we have a platform now which is so uniquely capable and so well situated that allowing people to build on this will open up how to use Neo across all of our society and not just in homes. Right, but it will also benefit the consumer because this will mean there will be more things developed on Neo, and part of that will be an app store targeted towards consumer, which we're very excited about. But also it will just be in general, how do you create a bigger ecosystem that can just accelerate the autonomy and accelerate the path to actually having a fully autonomous agent at home that can do—

Jason Calacanis17:29

what was the pre-order, 20K or something?

Speaker E17:31

I'm trying to remember. We have— we haven't given out official numbers, but It's pretty significant. We sold out the first 10K in, uh, the first few days.

Jason Calacanis17:40

Oh, so people put a deposit down for that. They'll have the ability to fully, uh, so sort of like the Tesla $500 deposit, or $500 a month, $1,000 a month, something in that range?

Speaker E17:51

Yeah, $500 a month.

Jason Calacanis17:52

$500 a month. So this is for— if I were to think of a parallel— Google Glasses or the Vision Pro. This is for high-end folks who are the vanguard, who are the earliest of the early adopters.

Speaker E18:07

Yeah, 100%. I mean, we try to be very transparent about this. Getting a home humanoid in 2026 is going to be rough around the edges, right?

Jason Calacanis18:16

They're going to fall.

Speaker E18:17

They're going to fall, right? Uh, but I am very happy to say that I think we will actually be able to ship something that's very close to full autonomy, which we did not want to promise when we launched this because it was too early. But, and I'm not going to fully promise it yet, but the way it's trending now, it looks like we will be able to ship an experience that is fully autonomous. Ah, and that is still quite useful. Now, if you want everything to just work out of the box day one, then there will be some teleoperation involved or some guidance of the system. But the thing that really excites me these days is that we're seeing the path now to actually shipping something that if you want it, it can be a fully autonomous experience. And it's getting pretty darn good.

Jason Calacanis18:57

The teleoperating is fascinating to me. I don't know if you saw this, but in New York there was a chicken sandwich shop, couldn't find, um, a cashier, so they hired somebody in Manila in the Philippines for, you know, $3 an hour, which is a huge salary for a cashier in the Philippines. And they had her on a Zoom call. They just popped up Zoom, acted themselves. And you could order, and if you had a customer service issue, you just talk to her and she was like, hey, I'm right here. That is in some ways what you'll be able to do with your robot. You'll have somebody in the Philippines who you'll be able to tap into, who'll be able to turn it on, and when you say, hey, pour me a glass of orange juice, that person will be able to remotely do that task. Is, is that what I'm envisioning here correctly or incorrectly?

Speaker E19:44

I think it will all happen. So, so, so, so back to how the platform works, right? Let me just back up and spend like 2 minutes on that. So if you think about Neo as a platform, so if you want to build your orange shop around this orange juice shop, then okay, you buy a bunch of Neos, you get Neos, you get the robot operating system with like the fleet management and all that. You also get the data collection equipment, which is gloves that have the same tactile sensors as Neos, the same vision system, and you can gather data in your shop, right? Fine-tune our model within our system where we kind of like, we do all the dense captioning of the data for you. Like we do all that. You fine-tune your model, you deploy this and you get this working and now you have a fully automated shop and you're very happy. That's one path. Maybe that doesn't quite work. So you say, ah, I'm gonna have someone intervene sometimes in teleop and then your data gets better. That's one way of doing it, right? There's many ways of gathering data. Or maybe you're just saying like, you know what, this is super complicated. I just want it fully teleop. That's also fine. Depends on how you want to apply this. And the platform goes all the way from like these kind of like developers that just want to automate their workflow all the way to the more foundation labs that want to deploy their models. So there's also a world where you can run someone else's model on Neo. We're going to allow that. I think so.

Jason Calacanis21:07

You're going to be an open platform. You'll be in a way headless to the knowledge inside of it. You'll be able to plug in if OpenAI has a world model or Claude or some of the other independent world models, they'll be able to be plugged in?

Speaker E21:21

Yeah, 100%. Now, I sincerely believe that our model will be the best one.

Jason Calacanis21:25

Sure.

Speaker E21:26

And I believe in competition. So if we that actually control everything from the manufacturing all the way up to the product can't make the best model, then we kind of failed.

Jason Calacanis21:35

Yeah.

Speaker E21:36

But will we allow other people to build on this? 100%. And one of the big reasons for this is that currently, if you look at where this, where the field is, there is no one general model that solves everything for robotics. It's not there yet.

Jason Calacanis21:49

Right.

Speaker E21:50

And if we are stuck in our customers' kind of like backyards, helping them integrate towards ERP solutions and everything else the next couple of years, we are not going to get there. What we want to do is to work on the general problem. How do we solve embodied AGI? So we can actually create an abundance of labor.

Jason Calacanis22:07

Got it.

Speaker E22:07

And this requires us to focus on the general problem and then allow other people to also help apply what is available today and to help build the ecosystem, right? If we get this enormous robotics ecosystem, we all benefit.

Jason Calacanis22:23

Yeah, and I could see some applications where one teleoperator— let's say this was a convenience store robot that just help you carry stuff out to your car. That might only happen once every hour. You could have one teleoperator, or maybe you have 10 of them that are monitoring 30, 40 Neos, and they control them remotely and help people move the groceries to their car.

Speaker E22:48

Yeah, personally, actually, I'm, I'm like, I have a use case for Neo. Okay, uh, in teleop, which is I'm part of the time in Norway, mostly in San Francisco area now, but part of the time in Norway. And I'm also kind of like conventions like this, right? And when I'm out traveling, I want to be able to be present and run my company through Neo. Yes, put the hat on Neo. I am Neo. And that's actually pretty magical. And you can— I can go around, I can pick up the parts, I can look at the parts, I can talk to people, I can be in the meetings, right? And so that's one application of teleoperation that I think actually will never go away. Like, no matter how good your autonomy is, that will still be there.

Jason Calacanis23:25

Yeah, your avatar at your factory in Shenzhen.

Speaker E23:28

100%. Yeah. And you know, there are other applications like this where remote power stations where there's no one within like an hour of driving, you have a robot standing in the closet and something goes wrong and you go out and you like flip the old switches and you do the thing. Like, you're likely not going to automate that because it's kind of like a one-off thing that happens every few months, right, right.

Jason Calacanis23:52

So, but it's worth having that robot in that space out in the middle of the forest near, you know, those power lines or power converters. They can go out within, you know, minutes and, and work.

Speaker E24:05

Essentially like what used to be called like expert in place, like this concept of like you can take the world's best expert and teleport them to anywhere in the world to help solve a situation, like a surgeon. Yeah, yeah, it's super useful. I do think that what we've experienced over the last year is, first of all, that Neo has become so capable, especially with the new hands. Yeah, that teleoperation does not fully use the hardware. Like, you're not able to get the teleoperation to be good enough to fully utilize the hardware.

Jason Calacanis24:35

Uh, so the fidelity of the hand is greater than a teleoperator is able to leverage?

Speaker E24:40

Yes, right. The teleoperator will not feel the same as the robot is feeling, for example, right? Then you need to build full haptic systems, and they're going to slow you down and be slow and clunky and like So we're increasingly seeing that gathering data with humans just wearing the sensors of the robot in as transparent a manner as possible. So like they should not disturb what you are doing, right? That's the most useful data to solve kind of baseline dexterity on the robot. But even more importantly, the big bet that we made, which is this decade-long bet at 1X, is if you get the robot to be similar enough to a human, then you can train on all of the available video data out there of humans.

Jason Calacanis25:17

Yes.

Speaker E25:18

And we're starting to see some very good proof that this is actually working incredibly well. And that's the reason we started the 1X World Model Lab, because we now finally have the scaling laws on that. And we're seeing that this process—

Jason Calacanis25:27

Take us inside that. Take us inside the lab. Are you having people in factories wear glasses, wear your hands, and do their tasks over and over again? Are you working with the Micro Ones of the world? To go do, you know, real-world stuff and outsourcing like unique proprietary data that you can have that other companies don't? How does the world model get built at scale?

Speaker E25:50

So, so, so first of all, yes, we do that. And if you— but that's not the main point. So I think ultimately it's very simple, right? The model is going to be as good as the data.

Jason Calacanis26:00

Yeah.

Speaker E26:00

And if you think about the data pyramid, then on the top you have like teleoperation data, very high quality, small, fine-tuned dataset where actually what we do is you will have the operator try to do the task very well and very fast, and they will often fail, and then just try again. And then we pick the good samples where they did the task as good as a human would, right?

Speaker F26:24

Yes.

Speaker E26:25

You don't need a lot of that data. It's just to align your model. Then you have the data, which is what you're talking about with like put the sensors on the human, go and gather data. Yeah, you have more of that, and it's very close to the robot, but it's not the robot. The teleprompter is the robot. This is not the robot, but it's close. Then you have egocentric video, video from human's point of view. So that is further away from the robot, but it's still quite close because the robot's hands is the same as human hands, and like, it looks the same, and so it's quite close. And then you have general video data. Yes, of the world, or the world in general, and of people right? And because Neo is so similar to a human, we can actually utilize all of that data. Now, the bottom layer in the pyramid, which is this video data, general video data, is absolutely ludicrously immense compared to anything else.

Jason Calacanis27:17

YouTube, it's everything.

Speaker E27:19

So if you look at what is needed to actually achieve true intelligence, you need multiple orders of magnitude more data than anyone is even close to collecting over the next few years with egocentric data or with this sensor data.

Jason Calacanis27:34

Got it.

Speaker E27:35

And all of the major breakthroughs that we've seen, as far as I'm aware of, in AI have been because someone figured out how to use a huge new data source that previously we were not able to use. You unlock some new set of data and now your model capability greatly improves.

Jason Calacanis27:51

Well, you've got a lot of people out there trying to find data like that is like, what are the—

Speaker E27:55

years. So it's, it's like a catch-22. So our big bet is you have to be able to utilize the general video data out there.

Jason Calacanis28:02

Yeah.

Speaker E28:03

And the only way to do that is you have to care about every single tiny detail of the robot to be as close to human as possible. Like, you know, like the flesh and tissue and skin. Yeah. Is highly nonlinear. So like how much force for it to deform, what's the friction, like What is the impact energy when touching the table?

Jason Calacanis28:22

And people have different size hands. I mean, yeah, literally in the NBA there's a wingspan as a concept, and people with a wide wingspan, longer arms than the average person, get paid 20% more for having that extra 2 or 3 inches of wingspan. It's pretty fascinating when you think about it.

Speaker E28:39

That's a really good way of saying it— wingspan. We've always, we've always called it for the, the, the gorilla coefficient.

Jason Calacanis28:45

Yes. Long arms.

Speaker E28:47

Yeah, yeah. If you— but anyway, yeah, so my point is, yes, we do all of these things, but ultimately what differentiates 1X from all the other robotics companies is that we are all in on pre-training our own models on this video data on the internet.

Jason Calacanis29:00

Yes.

Speaker E29:01

And that our cross-embodiment is not another robot. Our cross-embodiment is the human, right? And we want to be as close to that as possible because that solves the Catch-22 in the end. All the data will be robotics data because the robotic data has— it has the actions, it has the tactile, it has the forces. It's better. But the only way to get all of that data is to create a base model that is good enough that you can deploy all these robots across society and they will do useful things that people pay for and also gather the data.

Jason Calacanis29:29

When do the robots become recursive in nature and they are teaching themselves, building themselves? And like we're seeing with large language models now, where people creating agents, instead of giving it prompts and instructions, we're now starting to say, well, here are the goals, here's a loop. You are one agent that, you know, identifies for a business potential customers. Okay, you are the agent that does customer success. And here's what that looks like. You're the agent that, you know, does pricing of products and those agents start working in concert. We're starting to see that in knowledge work. When does that come to robotics where you don't have to actually worry about making the robots better? They're sentient enough, to use a word perhaps not accurate, but they know what their mission is. You've given them the goal, hey, you're working in a Michelin-starred restaurant. Your goal is to make the most delightful food with this level of fidelity and perfection. And here are the outcomes. And it says, okay, I've just got to get better at, you know, poaching these eggs to really be great at this. It's kind of sci-fi.

Speaker E30:41

No, no, it's not sci-fi. It's actually something we think a lot about, but it's also incredibly hard to answer because, you know, the development now is going like this and you're here on the curve. So when you asked me a year ago, I was way more bearish on how far how far along we would be today on the AI. And like, every time I kind of sample, things have moved faster than I think. So it's easy to get like carried away, right? But I think if I try to answer it broadly, I am extremely sure that we're less than a decade away from hard takeoff. And when I say hard takeoff, I mean robots building the robots, the data centers, the chip fabs, doing the mining and refining, actually a true abundance of labor, a self-sufficient system that is just under 10 years. Under 10 years. My current bet would be 3 years.

Jason Calacanis31:27

Got it.

Speaker E31:28

But like, if it takes 10, like in, in the history of humanity, right, it's still like a blip. It doesn't really matter. That gets back to like, what is 1X, right?

Peter Fankhauser31:36

Because—

Jason Calacanis31:36

and you call this the industry term hard launch or hard takeoff? Hard takeover.

Speaker E31:41

Takeoff, not takeover. We're going to do it right, it's going to be hard takeoff.

Jason Calacanis31:45

Hard takeover. Yes.

Speaker E31:47

Yeah, but you know That's—

Jason Calacanis31:50

I heard the term, right? This is an industry term, our take on it.

Speaker E31:53

And you can't really get this without the physical part, right? Like, the digital intelligence can never create its own substrate. You need the physical part, right? And I think also this is going to have incredible impact on humanity with respect to, for example, progressing science, right? Like, a lot of the demand that we're seeing now on our platform is people who want to automate lab work. Yeah, because if your, if your AI model can't actually build and carry out these experiments and observe the results, how are they going to progress science, right? So all of these things will happen in the coming years as AI becomes physical, and exact timeline is a bit hard, but it's years, not decades.

Jason Calacanis32:31

Yeah, I mean, if you, if you believe it's 3, and I know you're an optimist, you have to be to do what you're doing, a crazy optimist for sure, and you think the outer, you know, uh, estimate is 10, you know, we'll, we'll, we'll be fine with 5, 6, or 7. Uh, Bernd, you've got to catch a flight. This is amazing. Continued success. If people want to order a Neo and give you $500 a month to be part of this absolute lunacy that you're doing, what do they do? How do they get in?

Speaker E33:01

Well, you go to our website and you order a Neo.

Jason Calacanis33:03

That's it.

Speaker E33:04

That's simple. It's that simple. That— it's 2026. It should be that simple.

Jason Calacanis33:07

It kind of should, right? If you can order a Tesla online, you can order a Neo online.

Speaker E33:11

Transparent pricing.

Jason Calacanis33:13

I like it. Yeah. Bernd, continued success. I'm going all in.

Speaker B33:21

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Jason Calacanis33:42

I'm going all in. All right, everybody, we're really lucky. We have Amanda McMaster here. Not McMasters, McMaster. Just McMaster, no S. Just McMaster, no McMasters. You're the interim CEO of Boston Dynamics, the OG, the original robotics company. The robots we've seen for decades doing backflips, doing kung fu, getting kicked and beaten and getting back up. We have been having a hard time remembering who owns this company now because it was an independent company, venture-backed, then Sergey and Larry bought it. It was part of Google, then it got sold. I think Masayoshi-san owned it at some point, but I believe Hyundai owns it now.

Speaker D34:25

That's correct.

Jason Calacanis34:26

Did I get that whole history correct?

Speaker D34:27

You did. You nailed it.

Jason Calacanis34:28

OK, so apparently I read way too much industry news. But now you're in charge of this.

Speaker B34:34

Yes.

Jason Calacanis34:35

It's changed hands many times. And you went from being essentially one of one, really, in humanoid robotics to one of many. We're here at this Machina Summit in Paris. And you see many contemporaries now. So what is Boston Dynamics working on now? Is it still a research project? Or are you going into the real world and applying these robots? Because I think you guys got there early, but you have to now deal with fierce competition.

Speaker D35:05

Yeah, yeah, we are big on deploying robots. So it's no longer an AI lab, it's not a lab experiment, it's not a research and development company anymore. We're now focused on real-world deployment. So we started with our Spot robot, which many people know, that's our mobile quadruped in industrial, famously in, uh Black Mirror chasing people down.

Jason Calacanis35:26

Not yours. Well, you can own it, right? There's always going to be a dystopian version and a utopian version. You're obviously pursuing the utopian, but that is a really cool robot that has been deployed.

Speaker D35:37

Yes, it has been deployed in real customer sites. It's providing really customer value. At this point, we have over 500 customers over 46 countries.

Jason Calacanis35:47

Wow.

Speaker D35:47

It is the It is the mobile autonomous robot that's used more than any other on the planet right now.

Jason Calacanis35:54

Wow. So it is the most deployed and most utilized.

Speaker D35:57

Yes. So real—

Jason Calacanis35:58

why, why, and who's— what is the number one use case for it? Like, yeah, is it security? Is it inspections? What do people use that dog format for?

Speaker D36:06

Yes.

Jason Calacanis36:07

Or pony? What do you like to call it? Pony? Dog?

Speaker D36:10

We like to think of it as a dog.

Jason Calacanis36:11

I mean, I love it.

Speaker D36:12

I think it moves like that. But, um, you know, we're using this Customers are finding a lot of value in industrial inspection. So they're using it for both acoustic, gauge reading, vibration detection. So assets that, you know, they have expensive assets in their facility and they want to monitor them. This allows for them to do that. Now it can do that during the day and then it can do security perimeter work at night. So the answer is yes, we do all of that. And the real inflection point was customer ROI. We want customers to find value in this to do really useful work. It's not just about, yes, it's cute and it dances, but it's long past dancing at this point. It's now doing real work. And, um, and customers need to see your ROI in under 2 years.

Jason Calacanis36:54

And those inspections, if they were even being done, were being done by humans.

Speaker D36:59

Yes.

Jason Calacanis36:59

Humans, as we all know, being them, are fallible. We make mistakes. And these ones were just out there now as little puppies running around a water treatment facility a bridge, whatever it happens to be, infrastructure pipelines. And it can record many different sensors, video, obviously, vibrations, or radar, I'm assuming, all different types, acoustics you mentioned.

Speaker D37:24

Yep.

Jason Calacanis37:25

What do those robots cost? What's the range of the hardware cost? And then what's your business model with these? People buy them and rent the brain? They rent it by the hour? What do you think of as the CEO will be the business model and what is the business model with these hundreds or dozens of customers deploying hundreds of these?

Speaker D37:44

Yeah, so we, we went with a capex model to start with Spot. We'll be doing a probably a robot as a service model likely with Atlas. We understand with a humanoid form factor, folks may want to spin up at different times and then and have the ability to do decrease. With Spot, it's been pretty effective in capex. It's the way these industrial customers think about industrial tools. So they generally want to spend capex for this. It depends on their configuration. You know, it ranges anywhere between, you know, $100,000 for the base robot all the way up to $300,000 when we're fully loaded with services, integration.

Jason Calacanis38:20

So it's the price of a Tesla to a Ferrari depending on how you equip it. But what people need to understand is the lifespan of these is greater than 5 years, I would think. Like, these are— you're known for industrial. So if it can run, I'm assuming you run 20 hours a day, 22 hours a day with charging.

Speaker D38:37

Yeah. So we're at— we think about in terms of mean time between intervention and we're at over 3,000 hours. Oh, okay. Only a couple of times a year does a human have to be involved and it has a charging station. So battery runs for about 90 minutes. Usually we'd have 2, comes back, sits down and charges and the next one can take over.

Jason Calacanis38:55

Does it automatically swap the batteries or it just sits down onto its charging?

Speaker B38:58

Perfect.

Peter Fankhauser38:58

Yeah.

Speaker D39:00

Yes. Atlas has swappable batteries though.

Jason Calacanis39:02

Yes. But that, the hot swap is a human has to do it.

Speaker D39:06

No, Atlas does it itself.

Jason Calacanis39:07

Oh, it does it itself.

Speaker D39:08

So Atlas will have two batteries. So it turns its torso around and you replace one and put it with the other one. It always has a backup.

Jason Calacanis39:13

Perfect.

Speaker D39:14

So battery life's not an issue.

Jason Calacanis39:15

So for the humanoid one, it can do it itself. Obviously the dog gets charged. So realistically they could be in the field for close to 24 hours, maybe 18, 20. And so that puts the operations at a couple of dollars an hour. And has that changed how people look at the use case, the dramatic lowering of cost? Because I'm assuming union workers inspecting, you know, pipelines, they're getting paid $40, $50, $60 an hour fully baked with their benefits, their pension, whatever else. It is quite expensive.

Speaker D39:47

We haven't necessarily looked at labor replacement for Spot. And while that is a metric you might look at, We thought about, you know, how do we bring Spot in there to augment human labor? One, humans weren't doing the task. Even if they were tasked with it, they weren't actually doing it. And two, like, we're just trying to figure out ways that humans can do more, you know, knowledge worker tasks as opposed to going and doing inspections. So yes, one of the metrics a customer might look like for ROI is labor replacement. We're leaning more into how much do we save you? So we found an air leak in your facility. Facility, and that was a— would have been $3 million a day.

Jason Calacanis40:22

Yeah, the outcomes matter.

Speaker D40:23

Yes. So what is the value that we're driving?

Jason Calacanis40:26

But is it still delicate in the industry to talk about labor replacement? So you have to be very thoughtful about that in this part of the talk?

Speaker D40:34

And let's be honest, I mean, there's going to be an element of labor replacement for this as a metric because it's easy. Yeah. You know, how many bodies are in the world and how can you imagine a TAM relative to that? I just don't think it's the only conversation we should be having. Yeah, right. Just an element of it.

Jason Calacanis40:48

And hopefully we're getting rid of the dangerous jobs and the ones people might find oppressive.

Speaker D40:56

Yeah. Dull, dirty, dangerous.

Jason Calacanis40:59

Dull, dirty, dangerous.

Speaker D41:00

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis41:00

We don't want people doing that.

Speaker D41:02

Hurting their body.

Jason Calacanis41:03

Yeah. We only get one human body. Yeah. The Atlas. How do you think about onboard compute versus remote When you put the amount of brains, my understanding is you have the brains on the robot. Yep. That means crazy battery drain. What do you think about the option of having, you know, the brains in the cloud and having these be more lightweight if they're in an area that has extremely high-speed Wi-Fi, et cetera? Yeah. And do you offer that yet or is it all, hey, you gotta have a robot with a lot of brains on it 'Cause that's what the customers want. And that seems to be a paradigm shift that's occurring now.

Speaker D41:43

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis41:44

So how do you grok that?

Speaker D41:45

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis41:45

Or how should we think about it?

Speaker D41:46

We think about two brains, right? My simplified version of telling the story is there's two brains.

Jason Calacanis41:51

Okay.

Speaker D41:51

There's the brain that controls the physicality of the robot, which is what Boston Dynamics is known for. You know, the dynamic movement, reliability, the way it manipulates things in the world, that lives on the robot. The reasoning layer that gives you the semantic understanding of its environment, That can be in the cloud. That's things that we might partner with Google DeepMind, or we may partner with other AR partners, or we'll build some of this ourselves. And then the wrapper around all of that is the very specific information that a particular customer needs around their own workflows, you know, the way that they think about the job processes that they have and the tools that exist in their facility and how this robot will interact with it. That's going to live somewhere in between. So it could be on robot if you needed it to, it could be in the cloud. And we'll figure out the wrapper for that.

Jason Calacanis42:36

What percentage of the robot is built in the United States or outside of China and Taiwan today?

Speaker D42:42

100% of the robot.

Jason Calacanis42:43

100%. So there's no issue with the sovereignty of robots in the United States. We're seeing a lot of cheap robots coming out of China.

Speaker D42:51

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis42:52

Your personal opinion as the CEO of this company and as an American, under any circumstances, should we allow humanoid robotics from China in the United States? No. No.

Speaker D43:01

Why? It's not safe, right? We've already heard about leaks that are happening with some of the quadrupeds that you're seeing in the United States and being backchanneled back to China. Listen, we have seen what happens if we let China win in the semiconductor space. You know, we can't do that with robotics. So we need to have a concerted effort to protect our IP, to make sure that we are bringing manufacturing of this ecosystem into the United States or into our allied countries.. And that means that we need to take our national robotics strategy. We're lucky enough that we get to sit at the table in some of these discussions. I'm hoping that more companies in the US join us in taking up this mission.

Jason Calacanis43:41

Yeah, we have to be pretty serious about this. It's an existential issue because these— not only do we have to win this, we have to make sure that the rest of the world uses our platform rather than China's. How do you think about the military application of these? Obviously, military is, you know, the field has been changed with drones in a way and at a velocity, no pun intended, that I don't think anybody anticipated because of what's happened in Ukraine. And now we see in the Middle East with the war with Iran. How do you think about Atlas and Spot in the battlefield? Where are they at in terms of deployment? In the military?

Speaker D44:23

Yeah, so we've been pretty public about the fact that we have an anti-weaponization stance. But why? I think that for what we're trying to do right now in industrial use cases, it's a distraction for our business.

Jason Calacanis44:37

So focus.

Speaker D44:37

It's focus.

Jason Calacanis44:38

It's not philosophical.

Speaker D44:39

I mean, depends on who you ask in there. As a CFO, CEO, I'm going to look at this and say, I'm all about focus right now. We need to be focused on the markets that we think we're going to win in. And certainly we have great ties with the government and we're happy to do any non-weaponization work with them. And we do do that today.

Jason Calacanis44:58

Okay, so you'll have them in, or you do have them in the field, maybe if it had to go collect a soldier or bring a med pack, you'd be okay with that. Disarming a bomb, you're okay with that.

Speaker D45:09

EOD is one of, you know, explosive ordnance disposal is something that's a great use case for robots.

Jason Calacanis45:13

And you're doing that currently?

Speaker D45:14

We do that currently. So we're okay with that. What we don't want is Terminator robots, right?

Speaker E45:19

Right.

Speaker D45:19

Not good for the market.

Jason Calacanis45:20

But China's building them. So if China's building them and we don't, right, you're kind of obligated if you're Boston Dynamics to build them. So if China puts these into the field, will you build them to protect America?

Speaker D45:34

I think that's a tough, that's a tough question. And I think we're going to have to answer it when the time comes and hopefully it never comes.

Jason Calacanis45:40

The time is going to come, I can assure you.

Speaker D45:42

I know.

Jason Calacanis45:43

And I can assure you what your answer will be when President Trump calls. You will say, "Sir, yes, sir," or else your company will be nationalized. I mean, this is the reality of it. I mean, I'm being a little facetious and playful with you, but they're going to deploy these and they're going to deploy them and they already have shown. You've seen them put AK-47s on these.

Speaker D46:04

Not on our robots.

Jason Calacanis46:05

Not on yours, on theirs.

Speaker D46:06

Yes. And listen, it's terrifying.

Jason Calacanis46:08

Terrifying.

Speaker D46:08

I think, listen, I know that we have the best robot and the most capable robot in the world. You know, if and when that time came that we had to make a tough decision, we would make the right one. But today we don't have to make that decision. So I'm going to keep everyone focused on the application space that makes a lot of sense for us to make money. I'm going to tell you a secret.

Jason Calacanis46:26

Don't tell anybody. The CIA, the FBI, and the Department of War have many of your robots with many weapons attached to them currently. Shh, don't tell anybody. All right, listen, I know you got to go. Continued success. This is such an important American company, and I hope you take the job and become full-time. I know you're interim right now, so I wish you great luck with it. If people want to come work at Boston Dynamics—

Speaker D46:51

Please come.

Jason Calacanis46:52

Where are you based?

Speaker D46:54

So we're in Waltham, so right outside of Boston. Yeah, but we're open to some remote work, and we're considering coming to the West Coast.

Jason Calacanis47:01

So I was about to say, you know, I mean, I know it's in the name Boston Dynamics, but I assume with all that talent accumulating in the Bay Area, you're going to need to pop up a space there. Yeah, yeah, we're considering it. All right, listen, continued success. Thank you so much. All right, everybody, our next guest is Professor Jonathan Hurst. He's the co-founder and chief robotic officer or chief robot officer at Agility Robotics. You have a PhD. In robotics from 2008.

Speaker F47:29

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis47:30

So you've been at this for over 20 years. Well over 20 years. Things seem to have heated up in the last 36 months. Maybe you could, for the audience, before we get into your product line, level set what you've seen in the past 20 years.

Peter Fankhauser47:46

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis47:47

And how the last 2 years compares to the previous 20. Yeah.

Speaker F47:51

I mean, 20 years ago when we were doing this, it really was an unknown in industry, right? Robotics was more about automation systems.

Jason Calacanis48:00

Yeah.

Speaker F48:00

And in the research community, we're doing things like humanoid robots, like autonomous, you know, mobile robots, really trying to build the intelligence and then build the hardware that can make it capable. And that's really started to break through now into the real world and to having direct impact beyond being a research topic. And then the universities have seen this demand and this growth and people love robots. There's a lot of demand from students who want to do it. So the number of programs has grown and it's just exponentially growing. Very, very exciting. Very exciting.

Jason Calacanis48:32

We've had a lot of false starts with humanoid robotics, which you're specializing in.

Speaker B48:37

And AI.

Jason Calacanis48:38

And AI.

Speaker F48:39

They call it the AI winters, you know.

Jason Calacanis48:40

Yes.

Speaker E48:41

Multiple ones.

Jason Calacanis48:43

This time is real. Quite obviously. Explain to the audience why this time is different and why you believe this time we're going to see robotics and humanoid robotics specifically deployed at a scale that I think we can both agree will be maybe in the next 20, 30 years, one-to-one with humans on the planet.

Speaker F49:05

Very impactful.

Jason Calacanis49:06

Yeah. Why? Why is this time different?

Speaker F49:08

Yeah, well, I would say generally it is very easy to make a robot that looks like a person.

Speaker D49:14

Okay.

Speaker F49:14

That's why we've seen humanoids for 100 years and what. It's very hard to make a robot that can do useful things in human spaces. And we're starting to see that today. And that's the difference. So even if it doesn't look exactly like a human, but maybe a little bit humanoid, but it's doing useful work, that's where the impact matters.

Jason Calacanis49:30

And because of large language models, a lot of things have now become for free. When these robots look at a table here, yeah, and you say, what's on the table? It knows that's a phone, it knows this is paper, tea, water. It probably knows how many ounces are in each.

Speaker D49:47

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis49:48

If we were sitting here 3 or 4 years ago, it wouldn't actually know what was in the world. You would have to program it in a very narrow way. Yeah, yeah.

Speaker F49:57

Perception was incredibly difficult, and the fact that perception is all but solved at this point is a really, really huge inflection point. I mean, I said yes, robots doing useful things, but also people can now see the future of generality. AI is really enabling that much more broad context awareness for these robots. So people can see that this is going to be useful generally, doing many useful things very soon.

Jason Calacanis50:20

So there's perception. The robot has to understand the world. Yep. But then there always seemed to be this blocker with getting the robot out of a very confined, narrow task, like, you know, in a factory. And I— my perception is it was the communication and the training level. Maybe we can unpack that a bit, because my understanding was previously you basically had to hardcode the robot if you were going to make a cup of coffee. We have a company I invested in, CafeX, and it is a robotic arm makes a cup of coffee perfectly every time, can draft a beer, all that stuff. But it had to be manually coded. Now the instruction set, because of perception, because of language models having trained on every video on the internet, every coffee recipe, that also seems to be for free. Am I wrong or?

Speaker F51:13

Not yet. It's actually quite different. So language models, think of it like it's a, it's now becoming kind of a commodity like the internet. Available to everybody. It's this amazing rising tide. But these language models are trained off of the entire data on the internet, and that data does not exist for robot control. You know, what's the example for your robot of all the torques, all the torque commands to every motor, given all the sensor input? There's no training set of data. So you have to generate and create that somehow. And there's a lot of different approaches and ways people are going about this. And some of these AI tools, again, they think of AI not as a black box, but as a big tent of many different, very different useful computational tools. In order to control a robot, you can do these things by learning from demonstration. You can give it, you can teleoperate the robot and start to train from that data. You can give it animation input or motion capture input or any number of different things. But that's also got a real hard limit because a person controlling a robot is not really getting to what the robot can do if it were optimal and how its behavior could work. That robot needs to practice. You know, and that's where you get into world models and sim-to-real transfer and all of these kinds of things.

Jason Calacanis52:16

And world models are the next frontier. People are literally putting gloves on humans and having them control robots remotely to actually chop and make a salad, to pour water. And that's being done today by many different companies.

Peter Fankhauser52:36

It is.

Jason Calacanis52:37

The world models will solve this problem or?

Speaker F52:41

They are part of the solution. As with all of these things, there is no silver bullet.

Jason Calacanis52:45

Right.

Speaker F52:45

So the world models, as I understand it, are, you know, can you model an entire warehouse and all of the physics of all of the objects inside of it so that then simulations of these robots can go practice in the world model without breaking things in the real world and, you know, compressed so you can do, you know, a million iterations within days and computationally, things like that. But there's always a massive sim-to-real gap. Things aren't simulated perfectly. And then, you know, as you pick up something in the real world and there's wave dynamics and there's condensation on the glass and the dynamics of the robot are not perfectly modeled, all these things are still very, very difficult. That takes real practice in real life with robots.

Jason Calacanis53:21

Yeah. So is there going to be a singularity or a crossing over moment where recursive learning, just putting the robot in the kitchen, Letting it make its own mistakes and then saying, do the next test, do the next test, which is how we taught it how to win at chess or Go. We didn't tell it like, here's how to castle. We just brute forced it and said, try every computation. And it was able to figure it out. Now with these recursive loops, what will get us there quicker? Somebody builds a world model, says, go get recursive, puts the robots into a kitchen, and, you know, breaks a lot of china? Or is it going to be these world model companies very refinedly working human alongside robot in a Michelin-starred, you know, kitchen to make that soufflé?

Speaker F54:13

I mean, it's not a very satisfying answer maybe, but it's all of the tools.

Jason Calacanis54:16

Got it.

Speaker F54:17

All of them, right? There's not a silver bullet at all here. I don't believe that there's this singularity. I do believe that things are going to get better and better. Think of it more like a snowball picking up steam going down a hill.

Jason Calacanis54:28

Got it.

Speaker F54:28

But the reason that it's snowballing like this is because people are putting money and resources and engineering time and engineering effort in as they explore everything and start to figure all of this stuff out.

Jason Calacanis54:37

All right.

Speaker F54:37

So humans, for example, we've evolved to learn. We are very good at learning and it takes very little data to show us how to do something. And then we practice and practice, iterate. Robots are not very good at learning yet. Robots take so much more data and so many more examples than a person. We're still figuring out how to teach robots how to learn. But then one of the benefits that robots have in the long run is they have got Wi-Fi. You know, when you learn how to play the violin, you can't just load that to somebody else and then they learn how to play the violin, know how to play the violin based on your learnings. Robots will be able to.

Jason Calacanis55:07

One robot learns to play violin, all robots know how to play violin.

Speaker F55:12

Or all robots of that type know how to play the violin, right? Yes. And then minor variations for the next type and the next piece of hardware.

Jason Calacanis55:17

So you are actually deploying your product. It's called Digit. Digit is, I think, 4.0. You're going to release 5.0. You've got, let's say, dozens in different applications out there in the real world. Give us an idea of what the forward deploy looks like today and where you think it will be in a year or two.

Speaker F55:37

So today it's doing these sort of multipurpose workflows that are still reasonably well scoped. Like picking up bins and totes and carrying them around. And the reason we do that is because you need two arms to pick up big things. You need this whole body control to be dexterous in how you're manipulating and moving those. You need to be balancing to lift from the top of a tall shelf in narrow space. So it kind of justifies the form factor for this one use case. But the real useful aspect of a humanoid is its versatility. So when we do the each picking and, you know, fill a bin and carry it somewhere and palletizing and depalletizing and are expanding out into more and more use cases, it's when it really starts to escalate. And Digit V5, which is coming out later this year, is the first time that a humanoid robot, a robot which is balancing, can step out of a work cell and does not need a physical barrier between the robot and the person to maintain safety in this warehouse. So when Digit V5 is out there, that's kind of the scaling moment for us.

Jason Calacanis56:32

Yeah, this is a key moment that maybe people don't appreciate, right? But if you've ever been to one of Elon's factories or Toyota's factories, there are lines.

Speaker F56:42

There's a line.

Jason Calacanis56:42

And if you cross that line, the—

Speaker F56:44

everything shuts down.

Jason Calacanis56:45

Everything shuts down. And I've taken many of these tours with Elon, and they're like, seriously, please don't cross that line because it's going to cost a million dollars if you do at the Tesla factory because it's, it's cranking. Yeah, we're starting to feel comfortable enough that these robots are not going to fall over and break somebody's ankle.

Speaker F57:03

Well, it's been a very, very intentional process over the past 2 or 3 years. Right. Where, you know, this is our experience with Amazon. When we deployed and the robots are doing the task and they're like, great, you know, it solves all the R&D, you know, goals we had. And we're like, great, let's go deploy. And they're like, oh no, we can't deploy because, you know, they don't meet our safety requirements. It's like, okay, how do we meet that? Well, it turns out that's super hard. And so it's been a bottom to top design of this machine, holistic through the whole— every system of the robot is touched to figure out how to make it safe.

Jason Calacanis57:33

When we look at an industrial shrank robot like yours, bill of materials, tens of thousands of dollars each. Yeah.

Speaker F57:41

I mean, we're not discussing bills of materials. We know that the costs are coming down and down and down over time. We'll be selling robots, you know, in the vicinity of cost of cars and things like that. The real, like, what is the value that they produce is the question to ask. When you have a robot that's working 24 hours a day and has a 5-year life, you know, what's the value? And it's quite a lot.

Jason Calacanis58:03

Yeah, it would be, uh, if we were to think about it from first principles, they can reasonably run 20, 22 hours a day.

Speaker F58:11

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis58:11

And then they have to charge and just— that's right. So we take 20 hours a day, 365 days a year.

Speaker F58:16

That's exactly right, by the way. 20 out of 24 hours for our Digit V5 robot because of the very fast charge iteration that's gone on this battery.

Speaker E58:22

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis58:23

So we get— we have 20 hours, 365 days a year. Yeah. You know, now you're in that 7,000, 8,000 hours a year. Let's put it at 8,000. 5 years, 40,000 hours of work.

Speaker F58:32

It adds up.

Jason Calacanis58:34

Yeah, people tend to think these things are going to cost $20,000, $30,000, $40,000.

Speaker F58:38

They will at some point. Yeah, it's going to need to go through the scaling and have 100,000 robots out there before that actually is real.

Jason Calacanis58:45

So that's a dollar an hour. These people are being paid in factories currently $40 an hour. Yeah, maybe in some other countries $10 an hour, but let's put it at $20 an hour. You've got 90% compression in cost at some point when these things hit the market, which gives you plenty of room to charge an Amazon or Toyota, other partners, on an hourly basis. Is that the current plan, to charge per hour of utilization? You own the robot, they—

Speaker F59:14

we do both. We do a capex for customers that prefer that. We also do robot as a service for customers that prefer that. It's really a lower barrier to entry and lower risk for them.

Jason Calacanis59:22

What's the price of a robot per hour.

Speaker F59:25

We're not talking about that, right?

Jason Calacanis59:27

Not talking about that.

Speaker F59:27

But I will say, like, as obviously as the robots get better and better and better at what they do, their value goes up and up and up. And that's at the same time that the costs to build the robot are going down. And the value for these robots is really set by the human labor and what does it cost to pay people to do these jobs. So it's a very inelastic price for a very long time.

Jason Calacanis59:45

So between a, a bill of materials tens of thousands of dollars. Currently, people in factories getting paid $20, $30, or $40 per hour in the Western Hemisphere. Yeah, in the modern world, it's a pretty big market. Yeah, pretty big market. Plenty of room for you to save them money and for you to make enough profit, build an actual business, you know, to build an actual business. Yeah. So let's take the conversation to what do you think the time frame is If I were to ask you, in Amazon factories, or if we want to take Amazon out because they're a partner, don't want to get you in trouble, but an Amazon or Target-like company, at what point will the majority of workers in a factory be robotic? When will that flip happen to 51% knowing what you know, Jonathan?

Speaker F1:00:35

I mean, already in a lot of these applications, the majority of the workers are robots.

Jason Calacanis1:00:40

Sure.

Speaker F1:00:40

There's a lot of AMRs, there's a lot of conveyor belts, there's a lot of industrial robot arms, and that's not changing. That's continuing to grow.

Speaker B1:00:46

Sure.

Speaker F1:00:46

And this is just a new form of automation like all of the others that's helping to increase and build that productivity. So like, how do we in the United States anyway, how do we build our GDP? It's not a growing population.

Jason Calacanis1:00:58

No.

Speaker F1:00:58

It's increased efficiency and capability. And the only way we could do that is more and more automation.

Jason Calacanis1:01:02

Especially not with the anti-immigration vibes we have in the country right now. Even in the Western Hemisphere? Yeah. Well, let me phrase the question another way. At what point, if there were a million people working in factories sorting packages, does it go down to 500,000? Is that a 3, 4, 5 year?

Speaker F1:01:21

I think we've already done that.

Jason Calacanis1:01:23

Right. But looking forward— but with these new—

Speaker F1:01:25

it's going to just continue. Someday there's going to be an autonomous truck that drives up and they have a completely lights-out autonomous package sortation factory. And then, you know, an autonomous truck leaving again. And at that point, it's probably specialty automation doing those things because it's just 24/7 doing it. And a humanoid doesn't make sense. It's not the most efficient thing for that specific task. A humanoid is useful for walking into human environments, doing human workflows. So by the time this one factory is entirely automated, there's also a whole bunch of other factories that still are, you know, legacy and still, you know, need automation where humans were. But then we're also working now in retail and grocery stores and hospitals and construction sites and delivering packages to your front door, which is a forever human environment, right? Front yards, uh, and that kind of thing.

Jason Calacanis1:02:08

That's going to be an interesting one. Yeah, because it's fairly obvious to anybody who has even looked at the latest generation of humanoid robots that the factories are going lights out. Most people are incapable at this point of imagining a Waymo robo taxi and Uber self-driving car and a robot, right, getting out.

Speaker F1:02:34

Yeah.

Jason Calacanis1:02:34

And bringing the packages to your doorstep. That's gonna happen.

Speaker F1:02:39

Absolutely.

Jason Calacanis1:02:40

Are you working with folks on that?

Speaker F1:02:42

You don't have to say who, but you know what, that was one of our very first use cases that we explored with Ford. And there's a nice video online of our very first Digit robot getting out of a vehicle, walking up to someone's front porch, and dropping a package there. Yeah, stairs and everything. So So we could do that. Like, this was 7 years ago, something like that. But I don't think it's the best first use case or the best first market. So it's on our roadmap for sure. But such a big market for deploying with what we're doing right now, we're going to start there.

Jason Calacanis1:03:10

How do you, when you look at applications, we know applications that seem obvious to us not being in the industry, but knowing what you know over 2 or 3 decades, What do you think is a use case or two that are non-obvious but that would be incredibly world-positive?

Speaker F1:03:31

I don't know what to say what's not obvious. I mean, just picking up stuff and putting them somewhere else is such a huge use case that frees people from the classic 3 Ds of robotics, the dull, dirty, dangerous kind of stuff.

Jason Calacanis1:03:43

Dull, dirty, and dangerous.

Speaker F1:03:44

The 3 Ds of robotics.

Jason Calacanis1:03:45

Yeah.

Speaker F1:03:46

And I really hope that we look, You know, like our children look back on now and look at some of the jobs that people are doing today that I really think of as robot jobs. The same way we look back on like coal miners in the 1900s and say, I can't believe people did that work. And you know, the number of roles and things that people do today are so much better. The quality of life is so much better. The jobs that people have today that you couldn't have imagined in 1900 often are just so much better. I think that that's how the future is gonna look for us.

Jason Calacanis1:04:14

You're still a professor of robotics.

Speaker E1:04:16

Yes.

Jason Calacanis1:04:17

You have hundreds of people in this graduate program or over 100.

Speaker F1:04:20

Yes, we do.

Jason Calacanis1:04:22

For young people who are listening to this, who are worried about their future and careers, this seems like an incredible career path.

Speaker F1:04:32

It's a massive opportunity. We live in a time of change. Anytime there's a time of change like this, students coming out have an advantage because all the people who have this 20, 30-year career and have know-how the way things were done, they have to learn how the way, you know, the way things are coming up now too.

Jason Calacanis1:04:48

Yeah.

Speaker F1:04:48

So students have an advantage and it's hard to predict exactly all the things that people, you know, the way the careers are going to look in 10 years. But if students just build some of the core skill sets around engineering, it's going to be applicable and useful.

Jason Calacanis1:05:01

So there's the PhD master's version of robotics. Is there another version that is, let's say, a little more Generation Tool Belt, blue collar? The equivalent of being an electrician or working on HVAC or a carpenter or a contractor.

Speaker F1:05:18

Yes, absolutely.

Jason Calacanis1:05:19

What is that and what will that be?

Speaker F1:05:20

Robot operators assembling and building robots. The robots can't assemble all themselves yet, you know, so there's a lot of manufacturing. And again, you know, robot operations and deployments, there's a lot.

Jason Calacanis1:05:31

Maintenance, clanker maintenance.

Speaker F1:05:34

Absolutely.

Jason Calacanis1:05:35

Is clanker a derogatory term?

Speaker D1:05:37

I don't know.

Speaker F1:05:37

Disney, you know, trademark term.

Jason Calacanis1:05:40

So, oh, is it really?

Speaker F1:05:41

Probably.

Jason Calacanis1:05:42

Probably. Final question. I think we're of the same Gen X. You, you know General Grievous from the Star Wars characters. Yeah, trained in the Jedi dark arts by, uh, Count Dooku, right? Able to yield 3 or 4 or 6 lightsabers at a time. Is the half-serious question, why not have 4 or 6 arms facing all directions?

Speaker F1:06:04

It's a good question. So I would say that, you know, as we think about the first principles of what, how to make the simplest possible robot to do the task, right? One arm is not quite enough to pick up big things. You can only pick up small things. Two arms, now you can pick up big things. Adding a third arm, it's hard to see the enough utility to make it worth fitting it in. And then, you know, go to 4 to 5, there's a lot to coordinate and a lot of extra complexity, but what else does it make you do? I don't know. Maybe we'll see that, but it's going to have to be driven by a real need.

Jason Calacanis1:06:34

All right. Favorite robot in science fiction history?

Speaker F1:06:37

Probably WALL-E. WALL-E. And EVE. I love kind of that vision of these robots just continuing to try and build and create and do what they were designed to do.

Jason Calacanis1:06:45

Yeah.

Speaker F1:06:46

I love Baymax too. Baymax is pretty fantastic.

Jason Calacanis1:06:48

Wait, wait. Who's Baymax?

Speaker F1:06:49

Baymax from San Fransokyo from—

Jason Calacanis1:06:52

Oh, yes, of course. I do know who you're talking about.

Speaker F1:06:56

This robot that's Very clearly there to help. And I love how they kind of show that it does what it's programmed to do. I mean, at one point they remove all its memory and it turns red and now it's dangerous. Well, that's very real. You know, your software, you have to have the safeguards in place. You gotta have the e-stop on these things.

Jason Calacanis1:07:10

So you think about the prime directives.

Speaker F1:07:13

Yeah, basically.

Jason Calacanis1:07:14

Yeah.

Speaker F1:07:14

How do you make sure that these things going through kind of the industrial safety process to make sure that, boy, there's a supervisory circuit, there's an e-stop on every robot, all of these things that make, make the robots so they could just really never harm a human.

Jason Calacanis1:07:27

Jonathan, I know you're hiring. Agility Robotics is the company, and if people are looking for a gig, fun place to work.

Speaker F1:07:35

Agility is great, and we have location in Salem, Oregon, where, where we started, where I am. We have a new facility we're opening in Fremont, California, which is a beautiful place, and that's where we're doing a lot of robot behavior development. So there will be robots working all day long —And you can come in and be working on— and we have a Pittsburgh location as well. Oh, right.

Jason Calacanis1:07:54

Right by Carnegie Mellon. Amazing. Yeah, 3 great centers. So if you're a young person or you're in the robotics field, pretty great place to work. And if you're worried a little bit about your future, go get a PhD or a master's in robotics. Skate to where the puck is going, folks. Right. Great to have met you and thank you for sharing all your knowledge. Thank you. I'm going all in.