Library

Episodes

141 episodes

official transcript
official transcript
official transcript

The rise and fall of agent civilizations

dwarkesh · Aug 31, 2026 · 24:40

Failed

Dylan Patel – Anthropic & OpenAI will have most of the world’s compute by 2028

dwarkesh · Aug 25, 2026 · 1:16:53

Discovered
165 nuggetsofficial transcript

8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning

dwarkesh · Aug 7, 2026 · 8:37

Failed

Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x

dwarkesh · Aug 3, 2026 · 11:18

Failed
82 nuggetsofficial transcript

Grant Sanderson – AI and the future of math

dwarkesh · Jun 30, 2026 · 1:33:39

official transcript
25 nuggetsAI transcript

The data black hole at the center of AI

dwarkesh · Jun 19, 2026 · 11:57

Failed

Ada Palmer – Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time

dwarkesh · Jun 16, 2026 · 2:08:20

Discovered
90 nuggetsofficial transcript

Reiner Pope – Chip design from the bottom up

dwarkesh · May 22, 2026 · 1:20:30

53 nuggetsofficial transcript

Eric Jang – Building AlphaGo from scratch

dwarkesh · May 15, 2026 · 2:37:29

131 nuggetsofficial transcript
122 nuggetsofficial transcript

Reiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served

dwarkesh · Apr 29, 2026 · 2:13:50

Discovered

Jensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat

dwarkesh · Apr 15, 2026 · 1:43:12

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Michael Nielsen – How science actually progresses

dwarkesh · Apr 7, 2026 · 2:03:03

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Terence Tao – Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery

dwarkesh · Mar 20, 2026 · 1:23:44

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Dylan Patel — Deep dive on the 3 big bottlenecks to scaling AI compute

dwarkesh · Mar 13, 2026 · 2:30:44

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The most important question nobody's asking about AI

dwarkesh · Mar 11, 2026 · 24:38

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Why Leonardo was a saboteur, Gutenberg went broke, and Florence was weird – Ada Palmer

dwarkesh · Mar 6, 2026 · 2:02:19

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Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"

dwarkesh · Feb 13, 2026 · 2:22:20

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Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

dwarkesh · Feb 5, 2026 · 2:49:45

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Adam Marblestone — AI is missing something fundamental about the brain

dwarkesh · Dec 30, 2025 · 1:49:53

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Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

dwarkesh · Dec 23, 2025 · 12:28

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Sarah Paine — Why Russia Lost the Cold War

dwarkesh · Dec 19, 2025 · 1:54:55

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Ilya Sutskever — We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

dwarkesh · Nov 25, 2025 · 1:36:03

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Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

dwarkesh · Nov 12, 2025 · 1:27:47

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Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise

dwarkesh · Oct 31, 2025 · 1:30:36

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Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away

dwarkesh · Oct 17, 2025 · 2:25:19

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Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable

dwarkesh · Oct 10, 2025 · 1:20:08

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Some thoughts on the Sutton interview

dwarkesh · Oct 4, 2025 · 11:39

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Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end

dwarkesh · Sep 26, 2025 · 1:06:22

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Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine

dwarkesh · Sep 12, 2025 · 1:28:28

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How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine

dwarkesh · Sep 5, 2025 · 1:35:17

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Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel

dwarkesh · Aug 21, 2025 · 1:44:40

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China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

dwarkesh · Aug 15, 2025 · 1:08:22

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Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard

dwarkesh · Aug 7, 2025 · 1:08:05

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Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

dwarkesh · Jul 25, 2025 · 1:55:37

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Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history

dwarkesh · Jul 10, 2025 · 2:12:41

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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

dwarkesh · Jul 3, 2025 · 14:01

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A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church

dwarkesh · Jun 26, 2025 · 1:33:45

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Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber

dwarkesh · Jun 19, 2025 · 2:26:43

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"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff

dwarkesh · Jun 12, 2025 · 1:36:04

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Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

dwarkesh · May 29, 2025 · 1:29:09

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Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken

dwarkesh · May 22, 2025 · 2:24:01

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What will automated firms look like?

dwarkesh · May 1, 2025 · 10:18

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Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

dwarkesh · Apr 29, 2025 · 1:15:03

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Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

dwarkesh · Apr 24, 2025 · 1:23:28

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AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

dwarkesh · Apr 17, 2025 · 3:08:28

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AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

dwarkesh · Apr 3, 2025 · 3:04:26

Discovered

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

dwarkesh · Mar 25, 2025 · 49:33

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Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

dwarkesh · Mar 12, 2025 · 1:52:59

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Notes on China

dwarkesh · Mar 5, 2025 · 19:31

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Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

dwarkesh · Feb 19, 2025 · 1:16:10

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Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

dwarkesh · Feb 12, 2025 · 2:14:43

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Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

dwarkesh · Jan 30, 2025 · 1:48:14

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Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

dwarkesh · Jan 23, 2025 · 2:08:13

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Sarah Paine — The war for India (lecture & interview)

dwarkesh · Jan 16, 2025 · 2:12:58

Discovered

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

dwarkesh · Jan 9, 2025 · 59:45

Discovered

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

dwarkesh · Dec 26, 2024 · 2:43:37

Discovered

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

dwarkesh · Nov 13, 2024 · 1:36:43

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@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

dwarkesh · Oct 2, 2024 · 2:09:57

Discovered

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

dwarkesh · Sep 18, 2024 · 1:27:37

Discovered

David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

dwarkesh · Aug 29, 2024 · 1:56:06

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Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover

dwarkesh · Aug 22, 2024 · 2:30:35

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Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan

dwarkesh · Jul 24, 2024 · 2:01:34

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Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

dwarkesh · Jun 26, 2024 · 52:52

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Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles

dwarkesh · Jun 11, 2024 · 1:33:53

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Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

dwarkesh · Jun 4, 2024 · 4:31:18

Discovered

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI

dwarkesh · May 15, 2024 · 1:35:26

Discovered

Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters

dwarkesh · Apr 18, 2024 · 1:17:54

Discovered

Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think

dwarkesh · Mar 28, 2024 · 3:12:21

Discovered

Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold

dwarkesh · Feb 28, 2024 · 1:01:34

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Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave

dwarkesh · Feb 21, 2024 · 1:54:47

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Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

dwarkesh · Jan 31, 2024 · 1:42:22

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Lessons from The Years of Lyndon Johnson by Robert Caro [Narration]

dwarkesh · Jan 23, 2024 · 36:32

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Will scaling work? [Narration]

dwarkesh · Jan 19, 2024 · 25:43

Discovered

Jung Chang (Wild Swans author) — Living through history's largest man-made famine

dwarkesh · Nov 29, 2023 · 1:31:15

Discovered

Andrew Roberts — Why Hitler lost WWII, Churchill as applied historian, & Napoleon as startup founder

dwarkesh · Nov 22, 2023 · 1:18:49

Discovered

Dominic Cummings - COVID, Brexit, & Fixing Western Governance

dwarkesh · Nov 15, 2023 · 2:34:13

Discovered

Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover

dwarkesh · Oct 31, 2023 · 3:07:01

Discovered

Shane Legg (DeepMind Founder) — 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architectures

dwarkesh · Oct 26, 2023 · 44:19

Discovered

Grant Sanderson (@3blue1brown) — Past, present, & future of mathematics

dwarkesh · Oct 12, 2023 · 1:31:20

Discovered

Sarah C. M. Paine — Why dictators keep making the same fatal mistake

dwarkesh · Oct 4, 2023 · 2:24:33

Discovered

Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) — The hidden pattern behind every AI breakthrough

dwarkesh · Aug 8, 2023 · 1:58:43

Discovered

Andy Matuschak — The reason most learning tools fail

dwarkesh · Jul 12, 2023 · 2:22:40

Discovered

Carl Shulman (Pt 2) — AI Takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future

dwarkesh · Jun 26, 2023 · 3:07:07

Discovered

Carl Shulman (Pt 1) — Intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment

dwarkesh · Jun 14, 2023 · 2:44:16

Discovered

Richard Rhodes — The making of the atomic bomb

dwarkesh · May 23, 2023 · 2:37:36

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Eliezer Yudkowsky — Why AI will kill us, aligning LLMs, nature of intelligence, SciFi, & rationality

dwarkesh · Apr 6, 2023 · 4:03:25

Discovered

Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence

dwarkesh · Mar 27, 2023 · 47:41

Discovered

Nat Friedman (Github CEO) — Reading ancient scrolls, open source, & AI

dwarkesh · Mar 22, 2023 · 1:38:23

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Brett Harrison — FTX US former president speaks out

dwarkesh · Mar 13, 2023 · 2:37:38

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Marc Andreessen — AI, crypto, 1000 Elon Musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution

dwarkesh · Feb 1, 2023 · 1:19:31

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Garett Jones — Immigration, national IQ, & less democracy

dwarkesh · Jan 24, 2023 · 1:14:01

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Lars Doucet — Progress, poverty, Georgism, & why rent is too damn high

dwarkesh · Jan 9, 2023 · 1:40:23

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Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century

dwarkesh · Jan 3, 2023 · 1:56:10

Discovered

Bethany McLean — Enron, FTX, 2008, Musk, frauds, & visionaries

dwarkesh · Dec 21, 2022 · 1:25:58

Discovered

Nadia Asparouhova — Tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy

dwarkesh · Dec 15, 2022 · 1:22:10

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Byrne Hobart - FTX, Drugs, Twitter, Taiwan, & Monasticism

dwarkesh · Dec 1, 2022 · 1:30:08

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Edward Glaeser - Cities, Terrorism, Housing, & Remote Work

dwarkesh · Nov 28, 2022 · 57:08

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Kenneth T. Jackson - Robert Moses, Hero of New York?

dwarkesh · Nov 8, 2022 · 1:33:17

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Brian Potter - Future of Construction, Ugly Modernism, & Environmental Review

dwarkesh · Oct 27, 2022 · 2:25:57

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Bryan Caplan - Feminists, Billionaires, and Demagogues

dwarkesh · Oct 20, 2022 · 2:05:11

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Tyler Cowen - Talent, Collapse, & Pessimism of Sex

dwarkesh · Sep 28, 2022 · 1:34:39

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Charles C. Mann - Americas Before Columbus & Scientific Wizardry

dwarkesh · Sep 14, 2022 · 1:31:28

Discovered

Austin Vernon - Energy Superabundance, Starship Missiles, & Finding Alpha

dwarkesh · Sep 8, 2022 · 2:23:31

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Steve Hsu - Intelligence, Embryo Selection, & The Future of Humanity

dwarkesh · Aug 23, 2022 · 2:20:49

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Will MacAskill - Longtermism, Altruism, History, & Technology

dwarkesh · Aug 9, 2022 · 56:07

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Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics

dwarkesh · Aug 3, 2022 · 1:31:21

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Fin Moorhouse - Longtermism, Space, & Entrepreneurship

dwarkesh · Jul 27, 2022 · 2:19:48

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Alexander Mikaberidze - Napoleon, War, Progress, and Global Order

dwarkesh · Jul 13, 2022 · 1:23:10

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Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, Altruism, and Leadership

dwarkesh · Jul 5, 2022 · 45:16

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Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection

dwarkesh · Jun 23, 2022 · 1:04:04

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Ananyo Bhattacharya - John von Neumann, Jewish Genius, and Nuclear War

dwarkesh · May 11, 2022 · 54:44

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Stephen Grugett (Manifold Markets Founder) - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance

dwarkesh · May 5, 2022 · 50:53

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Pradyu Prasad - Imperial Japan, the God Emperor, and Militarization in the Modern World

dwarkesh · Apr 27, 2022 · 1:39:00

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Razib Khan - Genomics, Intelligence, and The Church of Science

dwarkesh · Apr 20, 2022 · 1:03:18

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Jimmy Soni - Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and the Paypal Mafia

dwarkesh · Apr 16, 2022 · 1:07:49

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Bryan Caplan - Discrimination, Poverty, & Mental Illness

dwarkesh · Apr 12, 2022 · 1:03:42

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Richard Hanania - Foreign Policy, Fertility, and Wokeness

dwarkesh · Feb 24, 2022 · 1:02:02

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David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes

dwarkesh · Jan 31, 2022 · 1:24:12

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Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies

dwarkesh · Oct 5, 2021 · 1:11:32

Discovered

David Friedman - Dating Markets, Legal Systems, Bitcoin, and Automation

dwarkesh · Aug 9, 2021 · 1:23:53

Discovered

Sarah Fitz-Claridge - Taking Children Seriously

dwarkesh · Jun 4, 2021 · 58:14

Discovered

Michael Huemer - Anarchy, Capitalism, and Progress

dwarkesh · May 28, 2021 · 1:37:04

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Uncle Bob - The Long Reach of Code

dwarkesh · Nov 28, 2020 · 45:50

Discovered

Scott Aaronson - Quantum Computing, Complexity, and Creativity

dwarkesh · Nov 20, 2020 · 1:27:05

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Scott Young - Ultralearning

dwarkesh · Nov 16, 2020 · 1:38:57

Discovered

Charles Murray - Human Accomplishment and the Future of Liberty

dwarkesh · Oct 28, 2020 · 1:52:18

Discovered

Alex Tabarrok - Prizes, Prices, and Public Goods

dwarkesh · Oct 19, 2020 · 1:26:01

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Caleb Watney - America's Innovation Engine

dwarkesh · Sep 4, 2020 · 55:06

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Robin Hanson - The Long View

dwarkesh · Aug 31, 2020 · 1:40:29

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Jason Crawford - The Roots of Progress

dwarkesh · Aug 25, 2020 · 48:37

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Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity, and Probability

dwarkesh · Aug 22, 2020 · 34:32

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Tyler Cowen - The Great Reset

dwarkesh · Jul 10, 2020 · 47:04

Discovered

Bryan Caplan - Nurturing Orphaned Ideas

dwarkesh · May 22, 2020 · 59:59

Discovered